
President Trump federalized the National Guard, promising to promote public order and protect Immigration agents in Los Angeles. You see, protesters had turned up to bear witness and maybe stop the wholesale detention (and deportation) of masses of people who might be undocumented immigrants. Activists assembled outside the Metropolitan Detention Center, initially on immigration, but crowds grew as ICE agents, then local police, and now guardsmen, confront the protests.
Virtually everyone predicted exactly this sort of confrontation when candidate Donald Trump promised mass deportations–focused on undocumented violent criminals. In real life, the Administration abandoned this fiction because it was impossible to find, much less process and deport, sufficient numbers of violent criminals to produce one million deportations annually. Instead, ICE cast an exceptionally broad net, snaring documented and undocumented migrants, US citizens, and student activists. The Administration abandoned the previous practice of avoiding courthouses and churches, refusing the modest nod to social order and law enforcement. Mass raids make for dramatic pictures and confrontations, and the kind of shock and awe the Administration thrives on.
Armed and uniformed forces fighting with protesters is the best bet that Trump now has to shift conversation off his feud with Elon Musk, an extraordinarily unpopular budget bill, an erratic trade regime, the ongoing wars in Gaza and Ukraine, and oh so many other provocations. Migration is Trump’s most popular issue, and video clips of battles in California streets are sure to force people to take sides. Outside of California, it’s likely to rekindle some support for the Administration. Confrontation polarizes, the more violent, the more polarizing.
It’s hard even to feign surprise that Trump would set up violent confrontations for his own political benefit. Mass raids in California serve his purposes very well. And battling with Mayor Karen Bass, a Black woman, is just a bonus for Trump. We’ll have to see if ICE stages similar raids in warehouses, slaughterhouses, or farms in states that generally vote for Republicans.
Under normal circumstances, governors command the National Guard in their states, but Trump federalized the troops. California Governor Newsom has been emphatic that there was no serious trouble until Trump stepped in, and has asked Trump to back off. Don’t hold your breath.
The Guard haven’t always been successful at keeping the peace in the United States–it’s an unusual request. You’ll remember the National Guard, called out by Ohio Governor James Rhodes, shot two antiwar protesters and two bystanders at Kent State in 1970. In no way did the shootings at Kent State (and Jackson State) spur national unity or stifle the antiwar movement.

The federalized National Guard mobilized to Little Rock, Arkansas in 1957, over the strenuous objections of segregationist governor Orville Faubus, and secured the enrollment of nine brave Black students, in accord with President Eisenhower’s orders, Supreme Court decisions, and moral decency. But they didn’t resolve the issue or bring peace.
The Trump Administration’s bet is that the violence and disruption works to its benefit, regardless of the costs.












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